Value
Our Value Strategy seeks to achieve exceptional returns by investing in stocks with highly attractive valuations that are exhibiting earnings acceleration.
This strategy produces up to 3 companies and we recommend re-balancing the strategy once per week, every Monday* morning, for optimal performance. When you re-balance, you will simply buy any new recommendations that appear on our list and sell any recommendations that no longer appear on our list. Accordingly, you should only maintain ownership of the stocks listed each week under our "Current Holdings".
Our website is fully updated by 7am US-EST every Monday* morning. Our 'Weekly Alert' email (delivered every Monday* morning by 8am US-EST) will reiterate the current holdings and detail any suggested portfolio changes from the previous week.
We recommend placing all trades as market orders (within the first 30 minutes of trading). We realize this can be a challenge for some Members based upon their personal schedules as well as their geographic location. Currently, more than 30% of our Members reside outside the United States. If trading within the first 30 minutes is not possible for you, then we simply suggest you place your trades as close to Monday's* opening as possible.
We currently do not recommend using a trailing stop loss when implementing this strategy. This recommendation is based upon our own in-house testing and is simply intended to provide you with helpful guidance on how best to achieve optimal returns when executing this strategy. This guidance can change at any given time and this page will be updated accordingly when any change is suggested. It is important to note that not all Members implement this guidance and when doing so, their individual results can vary quite widely.
If any trailing stop was triggered during any given week, you will see an asterisk (*) next to the respective Symbol within the transaction history. The "Portfolio %" column is simply the blended average performance of all the stocks within that given weekly period.
*In cases where Monday is a Holiday and markets are closed, re-balancing should be conducted on Tuesday morning. Accordingly, our website will be fully updated by 7am US-EST that morning and our 'Weekly Alert' email will also be delivered by 8am US-EST that morning.
THE ALGORITHM
In this algorithm, we employ the following criteria using specific values for each item:
- Current Share Price - Closing share price as of the previous day's last trade.
- Average Daily Volume - Average daily volume (in actual shares).
- Market Capitalization - Current share price times shares outstanding.
- Price/Sales Ratio - Current share price/sales (12-month) per share.
- P/E Ratio - Price/Earnings ratio using current share price and current fiscal year F(1) estimated earnings.
- Percentage change in the average of analyst recommendations during the previous week.
- Quarterly Actual EPS ($/share) before Non-Recurring Items (NRI) (Diluted).
- Consensus EPS Estimate ($/share) for the last completed fiscal quarter Q(0) (as of the date actual earnings were reported).
- Consensus EPS Estimate ($/share) for the current fiscal quarter Q(1) before Non-Recurring Items (NRI).
- Consensus EPS Estimate ($/share) for the next fiscal quarter Q(2) before Non-Recurring Items (NRI).
- Average EPS Surprise over the past 4 quarters.
EPS Surprise %
Calculated as follows:
- [(Actual EPS Q - Last Estimated Q(0)/Absolute value of Last Estimated Q(0)] x 100
Percentage change in the mean EPS estimate for the last completed fiscal quarter Q(0), current fiscal quarter Q(1) and next fiscal quarter Q(2) over the last 4 weeks
Calculated as follows:
- [(Current Q0 Estimate - Q0 Estimate [4 weeks ago])/Absolute value (Q0 Estimate [4 weeks ago])] x 100
- [(Current Q1 Estimate - Q0 Estimate [4 weeks ago])/Absolute value (Q1 Estimate [4 weeks ago])] x 100
- [(Current Q2 Estimate - Q0 Estimate [4 weeks ago])/Absolute value (Q2 Estimate [4 weeks ago])] x 100
% Change Actual EPS Q(0)/Q(-1)
Calculated as follows:
- [(EPS Q(0) - EPS Q (-1)/ABS EPS Q(-1))] x 100; where Q(0) is EPS for the last reported quarter and Q(-1) is EPS for 1 quarter before the last reported quarter.
% Change Actual EPS Q(-1)/Q(-2)
Calculated as follows:
- [(EPS Q(-1) - EPS Q (-2)/ABS EPS Q(-2))] x 100; where Q(-1) and Q(-2) are EPS for the 1 quarter and 2 quarters before the last reported quarter.
Current Holdings
| Symbol | Date Added | Price Basis |
|---|---|---|
| MCY | 11/11/2024 | 73.85 |
| NCLH | 11/18/2024 | 26.42 |
| BMBL | 11/18/2024 | 7.87 |
Performance Statistics
Learn how we calculate our performance statistics Find out more
2024 YTD12-29-2023 through 10-11-2024 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 101.7% | 31.3% |
| Compounded Return | 65.2% | 23.6% |
202312-30-2022 through 12-29-2023 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 109.8% | 27.4% |
| Compounded Return | 106.1% | 26.2% |
202212-31-2021 through 12-30-2022 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 54.9% | -16.0% |
| Compounded Return | 50.6% | -18.2% |
202112-25-2020 through 12-31-2021 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 158.3% | 30.8% |
| Compounded Return | 141.8% | 30.8% |
202012-27-2019 through 12-25-2020 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 199.9% | 22.4% |
| Compounded Return | 134.9% | 16.8% |
201912-28-2018 through 12-27-2019 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 60.4% | 33.7% |
| Compounded Return | 57.7% | 32.6% |
201812-29-2017 through 12-28-2018 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 10.9% | -3.7% |
| Compounded Return | 6.8% | -5.0% |
201712-30-2016 through 12-29-2017 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 32.1% | 22.0% |
| Compounded Return | 27.0% | 21.9% |
201601-01-2016 through 12-30-2016 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 146.6% | 12.8% |
| Compounded Return | 129.4% | 12.0% |
201501-02-2015 through 01-01-2016 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 19.4% | 2.3% |
| Compounded Return | 16.0% | 1.3% |
201401-03-2014 through 01-02-2015 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 36.9% | 15.4% |
| Compounded Return | 33.8% | 14.5% |
201312-28-2012 through 01-03-2014 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 101.1% | 33.3% |
| Compounded Return | 96.8% | 33.1% |
201212-30-2011 through 12-28-2012 |
Strategy | S&P 500 Index |
|---|---|---|
| Annualized Return | 90.9% | 14.7% |
| Compounded Return | 84.5% | 13.8% |